Trucking spot rates just hit a cycle high. Diesel got them there.
The SONAR NTI.USA index is at $3 a mile, but the linehaul rate — what carriers actually get paid for the truck — hasn't yet recovered to where it...
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Forecast now for up to +0.8 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
April 1, 2026
Resolves YES if FreightWaves SONAR NTI.USA reads above $3.00/mile on March 31, 2026. Resolves NO if NTI.USA reads at or below $3.00/mile. NTI.USA is the all-in rate including fuel surcharge. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.
OTR Solutions President Clayton Griffin challenged FreightWaves' Craig Fuller to a $5,000 charity bet on whether the national spot truckload rate breaks $3.00/mile by the end of March. Griffin is taking the under. Fuller is taking the over. The barometer is FreightWaves SONAR NTI.USA, the national truckload index, which reflects the all-in spot rate per mile including fuel surcharge. The reading in mid-February is around $2.78/mile, meaning rates would need to climb roughly 8% in the next six weeks for the over to hit. How bullish are you?
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