March 28, 2026
Trucking spot rates just hit a cycle high. Diesel got them there.
The SONAR NTI.USA index is at $3 a mile, but the linehaul rate — what carriers actually get paid for the truck — hasn't yet recovered to where it...
Read articleThis market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
March 29, 2026
Resolves YES if FreightWaves SONAR NTI.USA reads above $3.00/mile on March 31, 2026. Resolves NO if NTI.USA reads at or below $3.00/mile. NTI.USA is the all-in rate including fuel surcharge. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.
OTR Solutions President Clayton Griffin challenged FreightWaves' Craig Fuller to a $5,000 charity bet on whether the national spot truckload rate breaks $3.00/mile by the end of March. Griffin is taking the under. Fuller is taking the over. The barometer is FreightWaves SONAR NTI.USA, the national truckload index, which reflects the all-in spot rate per mile including fuel surcharge. The reading in mid-February is around $2.78/mile, meaning rates would need to climb roughly 8% in the next six weeks for the over to hit. How bullish are you?
Rig Load Report posts linked directly to this market.
Part 1 of 4 in NTI Monthly 2026
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.
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This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
March 29, 2026
Resolves YES if FreightWaves SONAR NTI.USA reads above $3.00/mile on March 31, 2026. Resolves NO if NTI.USA reads at or below $3.00/mile. NTI.USA is the all-in rate including fuel surcharge. Source: FreightWaves SONAR.
OTR Solutions President Clayton Griffin challenged FreightWaves' Craig Fuller to a $5,000 charity bet on whether the national spot truckload rate breaks $3.00/mile by the end of March. Griffin is taking the under. Fuller is taking the over. The barometer is FreightWaves SONAR NTI.USA, the national truckload index, which reflects the all-in spot rate per mile including fuel surcharge. The reading in mid-February is around $2.78/mile, meaning rates would need to climb roughly 8% in the next six weeks for the over to hit. How bullish are you?
Rig Load Report posts linked directly to this market.
Part 1 of 4 in NTI Monthly 2026
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.