March 7, 2026
What war in Iran means for diesel and domestic freight
The Strait of Hormuz closure is rewriting the fuel outlook for U.S. trucking just as the industry claws its way out of a three-year downturn.
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Closes Jul 7, 2026
What will the EIA national average diesel price be on June 30, 2026?
Numeric Forecast
Consensus Over Time
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Resolution Details
Resolution Date
July 7, 2026
Expected Range
$2.90/gal - $6.00/gal
Resolution Criteria
Use the EIA reported national average for week ending closest to June 30, 2026. Round to nearest cent. Source: https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/gasdiesel/
Additional Context
June represents the traditional low point of annual diesel pricing cycles, and 2026's June reading will signal whether the forecast decline has materialized. Current forecasts center around $3.41, but tariff-driven economic slowdowns or Middle East supply disruptions could push this significantly higher or lower.
Recent Activity
A forecaster predicted $4.50/galMar 30, 2026
A forecaster predicted $4.50/galMar 29, 2026
A forecaster predicted $4.31/galMar 29, 2026
A forecaster predicted $4.17/galMar 15, 2026
A forecaster predicted $4.16/galMar 13, 2026
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