Will the national average diesel price fall below $3.25/gallon at any point in Q2 2026?
EIA forecasts diesel averaging $3.41/gal in Q2, but the $3.25 threshold would represent the lowest sustained diesel prices since 2021. This level...

April 5, 2026
Resolves YES if at any point in 2026, publicly reported DAT dry van national average spot rate (all-in $/mile) exceeds national average contract rate. Otherwise NO. Source: DAT public blog posts/press releases.
Spot above contract signals tight capacity and carrier pricing power. Spot has traded below contract for the entire 2023-2025 downturn. A flip would indicate the market has fundamentally turned, triggering contract rate increases in the following 6-12 months.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
EIA forecasts diesel averaging $3.41/gal in Q2, but the $3.25 threshold would represent the lowest sustained diesel prices since 2021. This level...
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