This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
April 5, 2026
Resolves YES if at any point in 2026, publicly reported DAT dry van national average spot rate (all-in $/mile) exceeds national average contract rate. Otherwise NO. Source: DAT public blog posts/press releases.
Spot above contract signals tight capacity and carrier pricing power. Spot has traded below contract for the entire 2023-2025 downturn. A flip would indicate the market has fundamentally turned, triggering contract rate increases in the following 6-12 months.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
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This market has been scored against the published resolution criteria. The result, final crowd consensus and source rules are preserved here so readers can compare the forecast with what actually happened.
April 5, 2026
Resolves YES if at any point in 2026, publicly reported DAT dry van national average spot rate (all-in $/mile) exceeds national average contract rate. Otherwise NO. Source: DAT public blog posts/press releases.
Spot above contract signals tight capacity and carrier pricing power. Spot has traded below contract for the entire 2023-2025 downturn. A flip would indicate the market has fundamentally turned, triggering contract rate increases in the following 6-12 months.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.