Will the national spot truckload rate (SONAR NTI.USA) exceed $3.00/mile by March 31, 2026?
OTR Solutions President Clayton Griffin challenged FreightWaves' Craig Fuller to a $5,000 charity bet on whether the national spot truckload rate...

Forecast now for up to +19.2 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
January 1, 2027
Resolves YES if at any point in 2026, publicly reported DAT dry van national average spot rate (all-in $/mile) exceeds national average contract rate. Otherwise NO. Source: DAT public blog posts/press releases.
Spot above contract signals tight capacity and carrier pricing power. Spot has traded below contract for the entire 2023-2025 downturn. A flip would indicate the market has fundamentally turned, triggering contract rate increases in the following 6-12 months.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.
Rig Load. All rights reserved.