Will BLS report total truck driving employment below 3,600,000 in any month of Q1 2026?
Total trucking employment (including drivers, managers, mechanics) was declining in late 2025. Breaking below 3.6M would represent a cumulative 1...

Forecast now for up to +14.0 bonus points if your prediction is correct.
July 15, 2026
Calculate average weekly rejection rate for April 1 - June 30, 2026. Resolves YES if 3-month average >12%. Otherwise NO. Source: https://www.dat.com/trendlines
Rejection rates >12% indicate shippers are seeing capacity constraints and having difficulty securing loads. If Q2 averages above 12%, it confirms that capacity exits have created structural tightness.
Active markets come first, followed by recently resolved calls from the same category.
Rig Load is an independent platform for exploring expectations around freight-related outcomes. Content is for informational purposes and does not constitute professional advice.
Rig Load. All rights reserved.